IFOCE comparison matrix, Sept 20, 2011

A table of head to head results for the past 12 months for all competitors who have two or more IFOCE results in that time period has been created. (All people with two or more results have been listed even if they have subsequently been ejected from the IFOCE.) Here is the list of top 10 winning percentages, the entire list follows after the jump:

1 Joey “Jaws” Chestnut (J Ch) 97.2% 103-3
2 Pat “Deep Dish” Bertoletti (P Be) 93.6% 160-11
3 Tim “Eater X” Janus (T Ja) 87.2% 64-9-1
4 Sonya “The Black Widow” Thomas (S Th) 84.7% 72-13
5 “Notorious” Bob Shoudt (B Sh) 81.4% 92-21
6 Matt “Megatoad” Stonie (M St) 74.5% 40-13-2
7 Rich “The Locust” LeFevre (R Le) 72.7% 8-3
8 Sean “Flash” Gordon (S Go) 67.7% 41-19-2
9 Stephanie “Xanadu” Torres (S To) 66.7% 12-6
10 “The Lovely” Juliet Lee (J Le) 64.7% 61-33-1

11 Adrian “The Rabbit” Morgan (A Mo) 61.8% 46-28-2
12 Aaron “A-Train” Osthoff (A Os) 61.1% 71-45-1
13 Micah “Wing Kong” Collins (M Co) 59.2% 28-19-2
14 Allen “Shredder” Goldstein (A Go) 54.5% 6-5
15 Tim “Gravy” Brown (T Br) 53.1% 34-30
16 Eric “Badlands” Booker (E Bo) 52.7% 67-60-4
17 Jacob Larry (J La) 50% 4-4-1
17 Erik “The Red” Denmark (E De) 50% 37-37
17 Pat “from Moonachie” Philbin (P Ph) 50% 17-17
20 Pete “PrettyBoy” Davekos (P Da) 41.8% 25-35-1
21 “Nasty” Nathan Biller (N Bi) 40% 15-23-2
22 “Buffalo” Jim Reeves (J Re) 39.7% 11-17-1
23 Michelle “Cardboard Shell” (M ) 35.3% 6-11
24 Brian “Dud Light” Dudzinski (B Du) 34.6% 18-34
25 “Big” Brian Subich (B Su) 34.5% 18-35-2
26 Eric “Steakbellie” Livingston (E Li) 33.3% 10-20
27 Crazy Legs Conti (C Co) 32.6% 26-56-4
28 Damon “The Omen” Wells (D We) 31.8% 10-22-1
29 Kobi Bauer (K Ba) 30.8% 4-9
30 Kevin Ross (K Ro) 28.8% 8-22-3
31 Ron Koch (R Ko) 28.1% 4-11-1
32 Chiun “Jimmy” Peng (C Pe) 27.3% 3-8
33 Benjamin “The Wolf” Taylor (B Ta) 26.2% 9-29-4
34 Laura Leu (L Le) 25% 2-6
35 William “Wild Bill” Myers (W My) 24.6% 17-52
36 Larell Marie “The Real Deal” Mele (L Me) 22.6% 13-47-2
37 Maria “Edible” (M ) 21.4% 3-11
38 Damien Boykin (D Bo) 20.8% 4-18-2
39 “Hurricane” David Solomon (D So) 19.1% 6-27-1
40 Jeremy “The Jowl” Park (J Pa) 18.4% 3-15-1
41 Tomas “Tommy Boy” Cortina (T Co) 18.2% 2-9
42 Donovan Busta (D Bu) 17.6% 3-14
43 Bryan “Big Sexy” Beard (B Be) 16% 4-21
44 Yasir Salem (Y Sa) 14.1% 4-27-1
45 Grace “Man Eater” Lee (G Le) 12.5% 1-7
46 Gary Klucken (G Kl) 11.6% 2-35-6
47 Sean “Wrecking Ball” Brockert (S Br) 11.1% 1-15-2
48 Matthew Raible (M Ra) 9.4% 3-29
49 “Beautiful” Brian Seiken (B Se) 9% 4-45-1
50 Chris “Yat Ming” Lam (C La) 7.1% 1-13
51 Jaymi Wilson (J Wi) 6.7% 1-14
52 Mike Landrich (M La) 5.6% 1-17
53 Andrew “The Bear” Kogutkiewicz (A Ko) 3.6% 0-13-1
54 Justin Purtee (J Pu) 0% 0-12
54 Jason “The Erbivore” Erb (J Er) 0% 0-13
54 Ryan “Big Red” McKillop (R Mc) 0% 0-9
54 Andrew Kossuth (A Ko) 0% 0-20
54 Lauren Gallagher (L Ga) 0% 0-8

Comments (18)

18 Comments »

  1. Rhonda Evans said (Registered March 6, 2008)

    September 20, 2011 @ 9:47 am

    And that’s exactly how I’d rank the top six.

  2. Anonymous said

    September 20, 2011 @ 10:34 am

    Yes, this mops the floor with those stupid Don Sturdy “power rankings.”

  3. MOTIF said (Registered September 3, 2011)

    September 20, 2011 @ 10:57 am

    Yes, i totally agree this is way superior to the Don Sturdy system, their’s seems very, questionable…
    The top 6 like anon said are dead on, the only change i can see happening in the possibly soon future is Stonie moving up the ranks a bit as at his rate he’ll be beating bob and sonya on a common basis. It surprizes me how high Rich R. is in the ranking, but after thinking about it, it really is proper. The one eater I think is shifted very properly is Erik. No offence to him, but his numbers have been really low lately and doesnt truly deserve his #7 slot.

    Only thing i can agrue with is Juliets placing, but i have a feeling she milks this system as shes picky choosy with her contests to favor her record.

    Kudos OJ, great system.

  4. anonymous said

    September 20, 2011 @ 11:08 am

    Picky and choosy you say? She tries to avoid the contests where the people that accuse her of cheating on here or in person happen to show up at

  5. ojrifkin said (Registered July 27, 2005)

    September 20, 2011 @ 12:11 pm

    Treating the men’s & women’s divisions at Nathan’s contests as separate competitions probably results in the lower ranked women being overrated. If results from the men’s divisions of the contests Laura Leu competed in are included, she gets 0-3 added to her record from the NY Mets qualifier and 1-14 added from the Nathan’s finals (with the sole victory coming from Tim “Gravy” Brown’s disqualification) for a combined record of 2-6 + 0-3 + 1-14 = 2-23 and an adjusted winning percentage of 8% .

  6. bigbrett said (Registered February 15, 2011)

    September 20, 2011 @ 1:39 pm

    Good work OJ. This is a really interesting way of looking at results.

    Following this, Kobayashi and Squibb would be #1, Goose #2 followed by Joey, Pat, etc. if we included indy eaters, right?

    Does that seem correct? I’d love to see that data included, and see how it plays out.

    We are thinking about using a PGA style ranking, but we’re not quite sure how that’ll play out between IFOCE/Indy

  7. Too funny said

    September 20, 2011 @ 2:10 pm

    Squibb? Yes Big Brett, Squibb should be ranked higher than Joey, Pat, Tim, Bob, and Sonya. HA HA HA HA HA Ha Ha Ha Ha ha ha ha ha. Yes, and Goose is the second best eater in the world. Oh, my god I just pissed myself.

    HA HA HA HA HA HA. Did you say Squibb? Oh, that’s fantastic! HA HA HA Ha Ha ha ha ha.

    Wait, seriously, no let me get this straight. Squibb and Goose are higher ranked eater than any of the top MLE eaters. HA, HA, HA HA, HA, Ha, Ha, Ha, please stop, my stomach is hurting.

    Wait, Wait, I got a good one too. Pete and El Wingador should be tied for number three! Oh, that’s sick. HA, HA, HA, I swear you are going to give me a heart attack. Brett, seriously cut it out. Too funny.

  8. anonymous said

    September 20, 2011 @ 2:19 pm

    Seiken should be in the top 10 at least

  9. Mega Munch said

    September 20, 2011 @ 4:11 pm

    I love numbers almost as much as I love pizza and cheeseburgers. Yet another reason why OJ Rifkin is the best analyst in CE today.

  10. ojrifkin said (Registered July 27, 2005)

    September 20, 2011 @ 4:25 pm

    For the big table with non-IFOCE eaters, I will probably use a two year window which would give Kobayashi and Squibb some losses.

  11. Timmy Watson said

    September 20, 2011 @ 5:34 pm

    Squibb only ate at one contest this year, the Wing Bowl and that contest was rigged on so many levels. Just ask Pete. Even the organizers of the event admit that they can’t even rig it to make it look like Squibb could beat Joey so they just go ahead and ban MLE eaters. What is that? I mean if Squibb only eats at an event that even the event that organizers admit that they’re are fixing it for his benefit, comparing him to MLE is unfair. Heck, why not go ahead and compare Joey Chestnut to little Timmy Watson who won a cup cake eating contest at Boy Scouts and ate more Cheetoes at a birthday party. I’m sure they wouldn’t let Joey eat at those events either? But, at least little Timmy’s contests weren’t rigged. I thought it was resolved that indies shouldn’t be compared with the top MLE, because if they were top quality eaters or had the potential to be so they would eat for the MLE (a la Stonie). Okay, Kobi is an indie now. But, hasn’t everyone recognized that his more than lopsided victories over everyone in the indie field proved that Kobi is an abberation. Kobi’s only eating against those jokers because he has nowhere else to go to make money and the competition level is nowhere near MLE.

  12. MOTIF said (Registered September 3, 2011)

    September 20, 2011 @ 6:18 pm

    you cant uses this formula to compare people who dont compete. In otherwords you cant use this to rank both Non-IFOCE and IFOCE into one list. I understand you comment Brett, but you dont gotta try to diminish OJ’s method just because yours makes less sence.

    OJ did the liberty of posting up your list and getting it publicity, you should be glad, cuz otherwise hardly anyone would’ve seen it

  13. bigbrett said (Registered February 15, 2011)

    September 20, 2011 @ 7:26 pm

    OJ – good thought on using 2 years of data. That seems like a lifetime in CE terms, but it might be the only way to get results that coincide with what people think they should be.

    Does anyone know of a sport that uses data that far back? Naader brought up Chess. Are there any physical sports that do? Not even poker uses data that far back.

    @Too Funny – We’re saying the same thing. I’m doubtful of Squibb being #1, but using the above criteria, it would make him tied for #1

  14. Come On Brett said

    September 20, 2011 @ 9:04 pm

    7:26 Are you serious? Name a sport that does not keep data longer than your 12 month scenario? Baseball, basketball, football just a few obscure sports that use data greater than a year. Transparent are your comments trying to validate your flawed ranking system. OJ’s is simply better and closer to reality. Would you not agree? I nust be missing something?

  15. ojrifkin said (Registered July 27, 2005)

    September 20, 2011 @ 9:10 pm

    The official golf ranking uses a 2 year period. That is why it took Tiger Woods a long time to decline

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Official_World_Golf_Ranking

  16. And the winner is... said

    September 20, 2011 @ 10:19 pm

    And OJ wins again!
    Nice try Brett, but you lose….

  17. bigbrett said (Registered February 15, 2011)

    September 20, 2011 @ 10:28 pm

    Thanks OJ. The invite is still open to appear on our podcast, we’d love to hear your thoughts on all of this.

    I’m curious what you come up with when incorporating Indy eaters.

  18. bigbrett said (Registered February 15, 2011)

    September 20, 2011 @ 10:37 pm

    @come on Brett – sorry to not spell it out. Those sports don’t use data for longer than a year when determining who’s hot and who’s not. Interesting you bring those sports up, since things like most home runs in one season are recorded and talked about – they don’t care how many events each player plays in for that season. Is your point that we should analyze data in more ways, like those sports do? I would agree with that.

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