New Poll: Nathan’s wild card winning average

May 27, 2007 at 10:12 am by ojrifkin · More posts about:Site News

The new poll asks what you think the Nathan’s wild card winner average (over three qualifiers) will be.

Comments (10)

10 Comments »

  1. carey poehlmann said

    May 28, 2007 @ 4:34 pm

    I would guess something between 14 and 15. After all the higher performers are entered, there probably won’t be too many eaters who actually competed in three events, and also have high numbers. If there aren’t any with three numbers, do they average zero into the three number total, or just average two numbers? If the latter, I would guess between 17 and 18 will be the wild card average.

  2. Anonymous said

    May 28, 2007 @ 5:50 pm

    Carey I would be really surprised if the wild card qualifier averages less than the mid 20s. Your theory is sound but the eaters are much better than two years ago. I also don’t think an eater will win any qualifier if he can’t eat at least 24.

  3. Liz said

    May 28, 2007 @ 6:29 pm

    Yeah, I think Hall got it last year with something like an 18 average. This year the numbers are already higher.

  4. carey poehlmann said

    May 28, 2007 @ 7:11 pm

    Right, it will take at least 24 to win a contest. I think though, that the guys doing the deuce are all going to qualify somewhere or another. That will leave the lower finishes up for the wild card. For example, in Philly, you have Collins, Subich, and Shoudt who were the only non-winners to pull a deuce. 2 each at Hartford and Las Vegas, and none in Florida, where second place had 14. I think they have a good shot at qualifying somewhere else, if they do three events. If they don’t do three? Out of the running for wild card, right? Leaving the die hard table ender who tries his best at all three because of his love for the competition. I wonder how many people will be doing three qualifiers this year without winning.

  5. carey poehlmann said

    May 28, 2007 @ 7:37 pm

    Well, the totals are increasing each year, but so are the number of participants. According to CEN News, Last year we only saw six people with three qualifiers under their belt. Hunt, of course, and Erik the Red were the top averages. Hall with 18.625 and Erik with 17.17 average. There were two people out of those six that qualified with their third attempt. Goldstein and Philbin. “Larry McNeil and Andrew Lane also competed in three events, but failed to put up numbers that could overtake Hunt.”
    I am betting on there being less participants that are able to get spots for three events. Many invitee’s don’t show up, but neither do the stand bys.

  6. Anonymous said

    May 28, 2007 @ 8:23 pm

    I do hope that some folks get in with lower totals. Nathans is a lot of fun and like it or not, that’s the premier event that people identify competitive eating with and I say that with no intent to slam or bash independent eaters so please no one take it that way. I really wish the event was open to all.

  7. carey poehlmann said

    May 28, 2007 @ 9:12 pm

    No, I agree. That is exactly why I wanted to participate. The only thing that was more important to me is Wingbowl, but no matter how close to the Wachovia center I live, (22 miles) and no matter how much I remember my time listening to Anthony Gargano or Angelo Cataldi on WIP, that will never happen either.

  8. RussK said (Registered February 3, 2007)

    May 29, 2007 @ 8:43 pm

    I think when it is all said and done, there will be at least 3 eater with a plus 20 average who don’t make it. One of them could be me.

  9. Anonymous said

    May 29, 2007 @ 10:48 pm

    Tim Brown or Mongo will win the wild card!!

  10. carey poehlmann said

    May 30, 2007 @ 1:10 am

    Russ, are you doing three events?

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